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21 jul, 16:10 - 20:10 UTC

Precious Metals Gain on Safe-Haven Demand

Silver prices saw a significant rally as escalating hostilities in the Middle East fueled strong safe-haven demand among investors. This flight to safety also provided broad-based support for the US Dollar, creating a dynamic where both traditional safe havens were attracting capital amid rising geopolitical risk.

US Dollar Strength Tempered by Cooling Labor Market

The US Dollar has been a primary beneficiary of its safe-haven status, strengthening against multiple currencies as markets react to geopolitical developments. However, this strength faces a potential headwind from signs of a cooling US economy, as recent data showed a significant drop in the 4-week average for private-sector job creation.

UK Fiscal Uncertainty Pressures British Pound

The British Pound and UK government bonds (gilts) experienced turbulence following the appointment of a new Prime Minister and uncertainty surrounding the new government's fiscal stance. While markets stabilized somewhat after key cabinet appointments, concerns over potential flexibility on fiscal rules continued to weigh on Sterling.

Renewed Trade Tensions Weaken Canadian Dollar

The Canadian Dollar faced significant selling pressure after the United States announced potential new tariffs on Canadian exports. Analysts noted the trade friction acts as a direct shock and a major headwind for the currency, complicating its performance against the US Dollar.

Fuentes

1Turkish Lira: Rising inflation expectations pressure TRY – Commerzbankfxstreet.com2British Pound: Fiscal policy uncertainty and Sterling reaction – MUFGfxstreet.com3US ADP Employment Change 4-week average drops to 16.5Kfxstreet.com4Aluminium: Output declines on regional disruptions – INGfxstreet.com5New Zealand Dollar: CPI supports further RBNZ hikes – BBHfxstreet.com6Euro gains against British Pound as Burnham’s fiscal stance weighsfxstreet.com

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