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3 Agu, 12.10 - 16.10 UTC

Fed Policy and US Economic Data in Focus

Market attention remains fixed on the Federal Reserve's policy trajectory as investors await key US labor and manufacturing data for fresh directional clues. New York Fed President John Williams stated his confidence that inflation would return to the central bank's 2% target but affirmed the Fed would act if price pressures do not ease as expected. Hawkish risks and the possibility of a September interest rate hike continue to influence market sentiment.

Geopolitical De-escalation Weighs on Oil Prices

Reports of diplomatic progress and a potential ceasefire between the United States and Iran triggered a sharp decline in crude oil prices. The easing of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East reduced risk premiums in the energy market, causing both WTI and Brent benchmarks to slide significantly. This development also contributed to improved sentiment in the broader equity markets.

Gold and Silver Struggle to Hold Gains

Gold and silver prices experienced a volatile session, initially rising before struggling to maintain upward momentum as the week began. The precious metals' performance was caught between conflicting geopolitical signals and persistent expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve. While silver saw an early price increase, both metals faced headwinds from these competing macroeconomic factors.

Coordinated Intervention Supports Japanese Yen

Central bank actions were a key driver in currency markets, with Japan and the United States conducting a joint intervention to support the Japanese yen. The coordinated effort to counter currency speculators led to a strengthening of the yen. Elsewhere, the US Dollar regained ground against currencies such as the Australian Dollar, impacting the broader foreign exchange landscape.

Sumber

1Flavio Bolsonaro closes in on Lula in Nexus/BTG poll for Brazil electioninvesting.com2Lula’s lead over Bolsonaro narrows to 1 point in Brazil pollinvesting.com3Wall St futures gain on Mideast deal hopes; healthcare in focusinvesting.com4Argentina’s farm exports fall 28% in July to $2.92 billioninvesting.com5Analysis-How a US-Japan pact to hit yen speculators came togetherinvesting.com6Analysis-Japan’s fight with yen bears goes on after joint rescueinvesting.com

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